Saturday, January 23, 2016

A633.2.3.RB - Butterfly Effect


As we grow as leaders we seem to be more open and adaptable to changes in our environment. Being able to make those small changes will likely have an impact on the outcome of your decisions. As organizations become more complex and decisions have bigger consequences, it’s essential for leaders to be able to implement controls in order minimize risks and increase the likelihood of success. The complexity theory shows us that complex systems can exhibit simple ‘emergent’ behavior (Obolensky, 2014).  Additionally, the Chaos theory shows the opposite in which simple systems can exhibit complex behavior (Obolensky, 2014). In 1961, Edward Lorenz observed a relationship where small events lead to more significant changes in the larger system (Lassiter, 2013). Lorenz originally stated “one flap of a seagull’s wings could change the course of the weather forever” (Lassiter, 2013). He later changed the metaphor from a seagull to a butterfly. To elaborate, the butterfly effect can make a small difference at the beginning, but can have a larger effect in the end when dealing with complex systems. This is because most things in life are part of larger systems; some seemingly trivial events can have significant impact. The butterfly effect can lead to both positive and negative changes in a company or organization and when applied to business, it means that simple actions yield larger rewards. To illustrate, imagine the consequences of 1 degree temperature change has on nature. Due to the temperature change you have longer growing season in Minnesota and Canadian Geese don’t always migrate south (Lassiter, 2013).  An example of the butterfly effect on a large scale is the Pine Tree Riot of 1772 in New Hampshire (The Pine Tree Riot, 2006). It was illegal to cut down any white pine trees larger than 12 inches in diameter.  These trees were reserved for the Royal Navy and were to be used for masts for His Majesty’s fleet (The Pine Tree Riot, 2006). Irritated by the unfair treatment, colonist held a riot and chased the British out of town. Ultimately they were caught and fined, but the act influences other riots like the Stamp Act riots and the Boston Tea Party and ultimately leads to the American Revolutionary War and the declaration of independence from the British. As you can see from these small events there are major connected results.

Two examples where “small changes yield large results” in my organization are the implementation of departmental instructions and utilization of the Eisenhower Matrix to accomplish departmental goals. My department implemented new instructions on the utilization of our robotics program. This instruction provided guidance on how to establish unit base programs and it proved to be effective. Additionally, since the downsizing of our department we had to come up with ways to properly get task accomplish in a reasonable time. Since the introduction of the Eisenhower Matrix, we are able to categorize our task from the most urgent to the least urgent. This change increased our productivity and made our department more efficient.

These theories are still in their infancy stage and there is still implication of uncertainty that still needs further research. In my organization, we have a high level of transparency and open discussions. This method helps build teamwork, improve communications and helps bring uncertainty down. I’m continuing to grow as a leader and I know the importance of a single change can have in an organization.  

 

Reference:

Lassiter, B. (2013, November 25). The Butterfly Effect: Managing Your Organization as a System - Performance Excellence Network. Retrieved January 23, 2016, from http://performanceexcellencenetwork.org/the-presidents-blog/butterfly-effect-managing-organization-system/

 Obolensky, N. (2010). Complex adaptive leadership. (2nd edition.). London, UK: Gower/Ashgate
The Pine Tree Riot. (2006). Retrieved January 23, 2016, from http://www.wearehistoricalsociety.org/pineriot.htm

 

 

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